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UPDATE AT 12:00 – The United Arab Emirates (UAE) has announced a complete withdrawal of its military forces from Yemen. This decision was made on Saturday amid rising tensions in the region. The withdrawal marks a significant change in the conflict dynamics involving the UAE and Saudi Arabia, both central to the Saudi-led coalition opposing the Iranian-backed Houthi rebels.
The UAE’s Defence Ministry stated that the decision follows the successful completion of its counterterrorism units objectives. While the statement did not disclose the number of personnel or equipment being withdrawn, recent reports indicated a notable increase in military cargo flights related to the transport of troops and supplies to and from Yemen.
Tensions rise in southern Yemen
Amid the backdrop of the United Arab Emirates’ withdrawal, the Southern Transitional Council (STC), a movement supported by the UAE, announced a new constitution aimed at establishing an independent southern state. This declaration is positioned as a step toward independence, although the practicality of such a transition remains uncertain.
Recently, STC-affiliated fighters achieved significant territorial gains by capturing two southern provinces from forces loyal to the Saudi-backed Yemeni government. This offensive led to the takeover of the Presidential Palace in Aden, forcing members of the internationally recognized government to flee to Riyadh, the capital of Saudi Arabia.
Saudi Arabia’s military response
In response to the recent assertions by the Southern Transitional Council (STC), Saudi Arabia has escalated its military actions. This includes airstrikes targeting STC positions in Hadramout province. Field reports indicate that these attacks have led to several casualties among STC forces. A separatist official confirmed that the airstrikes coincided with Saudi-backed fighters’ attempts to reclaim control over military facilities in the region.
The involvement of the Saudi military underscores its ongoing struggle to counter the STC’s growing influence and to assert authority over the area. This situation is particularly significant as the coalition’s original objective has been to restore the internationally recognized Yemeni government, which was ousted from northern Yemen by Houthi forces.
The call for independence
UPDATE AT 12:00 PM – As hostilities continue, the Southern Transitional Council (STC) has announced plans to hold a referendum on southern independence within the next two years. The STC emphasizes its desire for self-governance. STC leader Aidarous al-Zubaidi reiterated this intention in a televised address. He stated the transitional phase would last two years, during which dialogue with both northern and southern factions is expected to occur.
However, al-Zubaidi warned that if dialogue fails or if southern territories face military aggression, the STC would declare independence sooner than planned. This declaration raises alarms for both the internationally recognized Yemeni government and the Houthis. Both view the STC’s actions as a serious threat to Yemen’s unity.
Regional implications and international reactions
The facts
The United Arab Emirates has exited Yemen, creating a power vacuum that may worsen the already unstable situation. The Saudi government has openly criticized the Southern Transitional Council (STC) for refusing to cooperate, highlighting ongoing tensions between the STC and Saudi-backed forces. The Saudi ambassador to Yemen has linked recent conflicts to the STC’s reluctance to engage in dialogue.
Implications of the UAE’s withdrawal
Despite its departure, the UAE maintains its commitment to de-escalation and dialogue. The UAE emphasizes that diplomatic solutions are essential for long-term stability in the region. The international community remains vigilant, recognizing the fragile balance of power in Yemen, which has been embroiled in civil war for over a decade.
The facts
Recent developments in Yemen include the withdrawal of UAE troops and the Southern Transitional Council’s (STC) push for independence. These events may indicate a significant shift in the ongoing conflict.
Complicating factors
The complex relationships among various factions in Yemen create challenges for achieving peace. Numerous alliances and hostilities complicate the situation, contributing to an uncertain future for the country.
What’s next
As the situation evolves, it remains critical to monitor the actions of local factions and international stakeholders. The unfolding dynamics will play a crucial role in determining Yemen’s path forward.